{"id":35692,"date":"2024-12-29T22:00:16","date_gmt":"2024-12-29T14:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/?p=35692"},"modified":"2024-12-29T22:00:16","modified_gmt":"2024-12-29T14:00:16","slug":"%e6%97%b6%e5%ba%8f%ef%bc%9d%e5%9b%be%e5%83%8f%ef%bc%9f%e6%97%a0%e9%9c%80%e5%be%ae%e8%b0%83%ef%bc%8c%e8%a7%86%e8%a7%89mae%e8%b7%a8%e7%95%8c%e6%af%94%e8%82%a9%e6%9c%80%e5%bc%ba%e6%97%b6%e5%ba%8f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/?p=35692","title":{"rendered":"\u65f6\u5e8f\uff1d\u56fe\u50cf\uff1f\u65e0\u9700\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u89c6\u89c9MAE\u8de8\u754c\u6bd4\u80a9\u6700\u5f3a\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u4e92\u8054\u7f51:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jiqizhixin.com\/articles\/2024-09-19-2\" target=\"_blank\">\u65f6\u5e8f\uff1d\u56fe\u50cf\uff1f\u65e0\u9700\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u89c6\u89c9MAE\u8de8\u754c\u6bd4\u80a9\u6700\u5f3a\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u6a21\u578b<\/a><\/p>\n<section><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-954a06444050b7efee952591e802cc8a.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-954a06444050b7efee952591e802cc8a.png\"><\/a><\/section>\n<blockquote data-author-name=\"\" data-content-utf8-length=\"166\" data-source-title=\"\" data-type=\"2\" data-url=\"\">\n<section>\n<p>AIxiv\u4e13\u680f\u662f\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u5fc3\u53d1\u5e03\u5b66\u672f\u3001\u6280\u672f\u5185\u5bb9\u7684\u680f\u76ee\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u6570\u5e74\uff0c\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u5fc3AIxiv\u4e13\u680f\u63a5\u6536\u62a5\u9053\u4e862000\u591a\u7bc7\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u8986\u76d6\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5927\u9ad8\u6821\u4e0e\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u9876\u7ea7\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\uff0c\u6709\u6548\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u5b66\u672f\u4ea4\u6d41\u4e0e\u4f20\u64ad\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u6709\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u60f3\u8981\u5206\u4eab\uff0c\u6b22\u8fce\u6295\u7a3f\u6216\u8005\u8054\u7cfb\u62a5\u9053\u3002\u6295\u7a3f\u90ae\u7bb1\uff1aliyazhou@jiqizhixin.com\uff1bzhaoyunfeng@jiqizhixin.com<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/blockquote>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>\u672c\u6587\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005\u9648\u8c0b\u7965\u662f\u6d59\u6c5f\u5927\u5b66\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u56db\u5e74\u7ea7\u535a\u58eb\u751f\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u4e3a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u3001LLM \u4ee3\u7801\u751f\u6210\u548c\u65e0\u504f\u6392\u5e8f\u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u901a\u8baf\u4f5c\u8005\u5218\u6210\u660a\u662f Salesforce \u4e9a\u6d32\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u9ad8\u7ea7\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u66fe\u63d0\u51fa\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b Moirai\u3002\u8be5\u5de5\u4f5c\u7531\u6d59\u6c5f\u5927\u5b66\u3001\u9053\u5bcc\u79d1\u6280\u548c Salesforce \u5171\u540c\u5b8c\u6210\u3002<\/strong><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u5fc3\u66fe\u5728\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u62a5\u9053\u8fc7\uff0c<a data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzA3MzI4MjgzMw==&amp;mid=2650924816&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=b1ca0ad627033abc6e2b296a01147f65&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u5927\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\uff08LLM\uff09\u7528\u4e8e\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u771f\u7684\u4e0d\u884c\uff0c\u8fde\u63a8\u7406\u80fd\u529b\u90fd\u6ca1\u7528\u5230<\/a>\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\uff0c\u6d59\u5927\u548c Salesforce \u5b66\u8005\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u73b0\uff1a\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u6216\u8bb8\u5e2e\u52a9\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u56fe\u50cf\u6a21\u578b\u80fd\u591f\u6709\u6548\u5730\u8fc1\u79fb\u5230\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u4ed6\u4eec\u63d0\u51fa\u7684 <strong>VisionTS<\/strong> \u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u4f55\u607a\u660e\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u4f5c \u2014\u2014MAE \u6a21\u578b\u3002VisionTS<strong>\u00a0<\/strong>\u4ec5<strong>\u4ece\u81ea\u7136\u56fe\u50cf\uff08ImageN<\/strong><strong>et\uff09\u4e2d\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u800c\u65e0\u9700\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5fae\u8c03<\/strong>\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u76f4\u63a5\u8de8\u754c\u6bd4\u80a9\uff08\u751a\u81f3\u8d85\u8d8a\uff09\u4e00\u4f17\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5982 Moirai \u548c TimesFM \u7b49\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u5747\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u89c6\u89c9\u548c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u770b\u4f3c\u98ce\u9a6c\u725b\u4e0d\u76f8\u53ca\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5177\u6709\u5bc6\u5207\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u7b26\u5408\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u4e60\u60ef\uff1a<strong>\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u96be\u4ece\u4e00\u4e32\u6570\u5b57\u5e8f\u5217\u76f4\u63a5\u770b\u51fa\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u5c06\u5176\u8f6c\u6210\u4e00\u5f20\u65f6\u5e8f\u8d8b\u52bf\u56fe\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5730\u4ece\u4e2d\u770b\u51fa\u56fe\u7247\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\u3002<\/strong><\/section>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-51426b2bf280d833af4cfc81dee6bb5d.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-51426b2bf280d833af4cfc81dee6bb5d.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<section>\u8bba\u6587\u9898\u76ee\uff1aVisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<section>\u8bba\u6587\u5730\u5740\uff1ahttps:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2408.17253<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<section>\u4ee3\u7801\u4ed3\u5e93\uff1ahttps:\/\/github.com\/Keytoyze\/VisionTS<\/section>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-9610fad91daa71909ff6831324dcde80.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-9610fad91daa71909ff6831324dcde80.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<section><em><sup>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u56fe\u4e00\uff1aVisionTS \u65e0\u9700\u65f6\u5e8f\u6570\u636e\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u5728\u96f6\u6837\u672c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u8d85\u8d8a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b Moirai\u3002<\/sup><\/em><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\uff08Foundation Models\uff09\u5df2\u7ecf\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u81ea\u7136\u8bed\u8a00\u5904\u7406\uff08NLP\uff09\u548c\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u89c6\u89c9\uff08CV\uff09\u9886\u57df\u7684\u53d8\u9769\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u5927\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5404\u79cd\u4e0b\u6e38\u4efb\u52a1\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u89c1\u8fc7\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u4e5f\u80fd\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u5b8c\u6210\u4efb\u52a1\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ece\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u300c\u5355\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u8bad\u7ec3\u5355\u6a21\u578b\u300d\u00a0\u8f6c\u5411\u300c<strong>\u901a\u7528\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\u300d\uff0c\u5373\u91c7\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u5904\u7406\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u8bad\u7ec3\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u7528\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\u6709\u4e24\u6761\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u8def\u5f84\u3002<strong>\u7b2c\u4e00\u6761\u8def\u5f84<\/strong>\u662f\u5c1d\u8bd5\u628a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u6587\u672c\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8bad\u7ec3\u597d\u7684 LLM \u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u6570\u636e\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u663e\u8457\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c<a data-linktype=\"2\" href=\"https:\/\/mp.weixin.qq.com\/s?__biz=MzA3MzI4MjgzMw==&amp;mid=2650924816&amp;idx=4&amp;sn=b1ca0ad627033abc6e2b296a01147f65&amp;scene=21#wechat_redirect\" target=\"_blank\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bed\u8a00\u4e0e\u65f6\u5e8f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u53ef\u8fc1\u79fb\u6027\u6700\u8fd1\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u8d28\u7591<\/a>\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6761\u8def\u5f84<\/strong>\u662f\u4ece\u96f6\u5f00\u59cb\u6536\u96c6\u5927\u91cf\u6765\u81ea\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5927\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5982 Moirai\uff0cTimesFM \u7b49\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u9886\u57df\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u4e4b\u95f4\u5728\u957f\u5ea6\u3001\u9891\u7387\u3001\u7ef4\u5ea6\u548c\u8bed\u4e49\u4e0a\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u8fd9\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8fc1\u79fb\u6548\u679c\u3002\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4ecd\u7136\u5145\u6ee1\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u63a2\u7d22\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u5728\u672c\u6587\u4e2d\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86<strong>\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u6761\u8def\u5f84\uff1a\u7528\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u597d\u7684\u89c6\u89c9\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u57fa\u7840\u6a21<\/strong><strong>\u578b\u3002<\/strong>\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u56fe\u50cf\u4e2d\u7684\u50cf\u7d20\u53d8\u5316\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u7136\u5730\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e8f\u5217\u548c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u6570\u636e\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u7279\u70b9\uff1a<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>1. \u00a0 \u00a0<strong>\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f<\/strong>\uff1a\u56fe\u50cf\u548c\u65f6\u5e8f\u90fd\u662f\u8fde\u7eed\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u8bed\u8a00\u662f\u79bb\u6563\u7684\u3002<\/section>\n<section>2. \u00a0 \u00a0<strong>\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u8d77\u6e90<\/strong>\uff1a\u56fe\u50cf\u548c\u65f6\u5e8f\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6e90\u4e8e\u5bf9\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u8bed\u8a00\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u521b\u9020\u7684\u3002<\/section>\n<section>3. \u00a0 \u00a0<strong>\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u5bc6\u5ea6<\/strong>\uff1a\u56fe\u50cf\u548c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u901a\u5e38\u5305\u542b\u5927\u91cf\u5197\u4f59\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u800c\u8bed\u8a00\u7684\u5bc6\u5ea6\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/section>\n<section>4. \u00a0 \u00a0<strong>\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u7279\u5f81<\/strong>\uff1a\u56fe\u50cf\u4e2d\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u7279\u5f81\u4e5f\u5728\u771f\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7279\u5f81\u5728\u8bed\u8a00\u4e2d\u5f88\u5c11\u89c1\uff0c\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/section>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-c1816f03aaae5a318b74212bfb4be584.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-c1816f03aaae5a318b74212bfb4be584.png\"><\/a><em><sup>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u56fe\u4e8c\uff1aImageNet \u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u5f20\u56fe\u7247\uff1a\u50cf\u7d20\u53d8\u5316\u5e8f\u5217\u7ecf\u5e38\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u7279\u70b9\uff0c\u5982\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\uff08Trend\uff09\u3001\u5468\u671f\u6027\uff08Seasonality\uff09\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff08Stationarity\uff09\u3002<\/sup><\/em><\/p>\n<section>\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c1\u89e3\uff0c\u8be5\u8bba\u6587\u5e0c\u671b\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u56fe\u50cf\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u8bad\u7ec3\u597d\u7684\u89c6\u89c9\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u80fd\u5426\u76f4\u63a5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u901a\u7528\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4e00\u7ad9\u5f0f\u52a0\u5165\u5348\u9910\u8c6a\u534e\u5927\u793c\u5305\uff1f<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a<\/strong><strong>\u57fa\u4e8e\u4f55\u607a\u660e\u7684\u89c6\u89c9 MAE<\/strong><\/section>\n<section><strong>\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217<\/strong><\/section>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-487c1847c078e05904736a39301b4753.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-487c1847c078e05904736a39301b4753.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<section><em><sup>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0\u56fe\u4e09\uff1aVisionTS \u67b6\u6784\u3002<\/sup><\/em><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8be5\u8bba\u6587\u57fa\u4e8e\u63d0\u793a\u5b66\u4e60\uff08prompt learning\uff09\u7684\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u5c06<strong>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1<\/strong>\u91cd\u6784\u4e3a\u00a0<strong>MAE \u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5757\u7ea7\u56fe\u50cf\u8865\u5168\u4efb\u52a1<\/strong>\u3002\u601d\u8def\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff1a\u5c06\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u7a97\u53e3\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u53ef\u89c1\u7684\u56fe\u50cf\u5757\uff08visible patches\uff09\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u7a97\u53e3\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u88ab\u906e\u6321\u7684\u56fe\u50cf\u5757\uff08masked patches\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u56fe\u4e09\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>1. \u00a0 \u00a0\u5206\u5272\uff08Segmentation\uff09<\/strong><\/section>\n<section>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u5ea6\u4e3a L \u7684\u8f93\u5165\u5e8f\u5217\u7a97\u53e3\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5c06\u5176\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3a\u4e8c\u7ef4\u77e9\u9635\u3002\u9996\u5148\u5c06\u5176\u5206\u5272\u6210 L\/P \u4e2a\u957f\u5ea6\u4e3a P \u7684\u5b50\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d P \u662f\u5468\u671f\u957f\u5ea6\uff08\u5982\u679c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u8bbe\u7f6e P=1\uff09\u3002\u63a5\u7740\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b50\u5e8f\u5217\u88ab\u5806\u53e0\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8c\u7ef4\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u5f62\u72b6 (P, L\/P)\u3002<\/section>\n<section>\u00a0<\/section>\n<section><strong>2. \u00a0 \u00a0\u6807\u51c6\u5316\uff08Normalization\uff09<\/strong><\/section>\n<section>MAE \u4f1a\u5bf9\u8f93\u5165\u8fdb\u884c\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8be5\u8bba\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u4e8c\u7ef4\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u4e3a 0.4 \u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>3. \u00a0 \u00a0\u6e32\u67d3\uff08Render\uff09<\/strong><\/section>\n<section>\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fe\u50cf\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u901a\u9053\u3002\u8be5\u8bba\u6587\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u5c06\u5f52\u4e00\u5316\u540e\u7684\u77e9\u9635\u6e32\u67d3\u4e3a\u7070\u5ea6\u56fe\u50cf\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u4e09\u4e2a\u901a\u9053\u90fd\u76f8\u540c\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>4. \u00a0 \u00a0\u5bf9\u9f50\uff08Alignment\uff09<\/strong><\/section>\n<section>\u8003\u8651\u5230\u9884\u8bad\u7ec3\u65f6\u56fe\u50cf\u7684\u5927\u5c0f\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e00\u77e9\u9635\u5927\u5c0f\u4e0d\u5339\u914d\uff0c\u8be5\u8bba\u6587\u63d0\u51fa\u5c06\u56fe\u50cf\u7684\u5c3a\u5bf8\u4ece\u539f\u59cb\u7684 (P, L\/P) \u8c03\u6574\u4e3a\u9002\u5408 MAE \u8f93\u5165\u7684\u5c3a\u5bf8\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u9009\u62e9\u53cc\u7ebf\u6027\u63d2\u503c\u6765\u8c03\u6574\u5c3a\u5bf8\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>5. \u00a0 \u00a0\u91cd\u5efa\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\uff08Reconstruction &amp; Forecasting\uff09<\/strong><\/section>\n<section>\u5728\u5f97\u5230 MAE \u91cd\u5efa\u7684\u56fe\u50cf\u540e\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u9006\u8f6c\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u9009\u62e9\u5c06\u91cd\u5efa\u7684\u6574\u4e2a\u56fe\u50cf\u91cd\u65b0\u8c03\u6574\u56de\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u5206\u6bb5\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u63d0\u53d6\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u7a97\u53e3\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6548\u679c<\/strong><\/section>\n<p>\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0cVisionTS \u5728\u6db5\u76d6\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u768435\u4e2a\u57fa\u51c6\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u573a\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n<section>\u4e0b\u8868\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d VisionTS \u5728\u65e0\u9700\u65f6\u5e8f\u6570\u636e\u5fae\u8c03\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u60ca\u4eba\u5730\u8fbe\u5230\u6700\u4f73\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u80fd\u3002\u96f6\u6837\u672c\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u6bd4\u80a9\u751a\u81f3\u8d85\u8d8a Moirai\uff08\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728 27B \u901a\u7528\u65f6\u5e8f\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u5927\u6a21\u578b\uff09\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u5c11\u6837\u672c\u8bad\u7ec3\u7684 LLM\uff08TimeLLM \u548c GPT4TS\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/section>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-90bafd7c389c1495464d7baf81bd1b8a.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-90bafd7c389c1495464d7baf81bd1b8a.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<section>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c<strong>\u56fe\u50cf\u2192\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u8fc1\u79fb\u80fd\u529b\u8981\u5f3a\u4e8e\u6587\u672c\u2192\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4e0e\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u5e8f\u6570\u636e\u9886\u57df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u8fc1\u79fb\u80fd\u529b\u76f8\u5f53<\/strong>\u3002<\/section>\n<section>\u00a0<\/section>\n<section>\u4e0b\u56fe\u5c55\u793a\u4e86 VisionTS \u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u9884\u6d4b\u6837\u4f8b\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8f93\u5165\u56fe\u50cf\uff08a\uff09\u3001\u91cd\u5efa\u56fe\u50cf\uff08b\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u66f2\u7ebf\uff08c\uff09\u3002\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0cVisionTS \u6070\u5f53\u5730\u6355\u6349\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\uff0c\u800c Moirai \u548c Seasonal Na\u00efve \u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u3002<\/section>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-384e7edb9c04e945742b61342b2b50e5.png\" data-fancybox=\"images\" data-fancybox=\"gallery\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/frc-384e7edb9c04e945742b61342b2b50e5.png\"><\/a><\/p>\n<section>\u66f4\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u7ec6\u8282\uff0c\u53ef\u53c2\u8003\u539f\u8bba\u6587\u3002<\/section>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u4e92\u8054\u7f51:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jiqizhixin.com\/articles\/2024-09-19-2\" target=\"_blank\">\u65f6\u5e8f\uff1d\u56fe\u50cf\uff1f\u65e0\u9700\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u89c6\u89c9MAE\u8de8\u754c\u6bd4\u80a9\u6700\u5f3a\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u6a21\u578b<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u4e92\u8054\u7f51:\u65f6\u5e8f\uff1d\u56fe\u50cf\uff1f\u65e0\u9700\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[68,67,66],"class_list":["post-35692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-68","tag-67","tag-66"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u65f6\u5e8f\uff1d\u56fe\u50cf\uff1f\u65e0\u9700\u5fae\u8c03\uff0c\u89c6\u89c9MAE\u8de8\u754c\u6bd4\u80a9\u6700\u5f3a\u65f6\u5e8f\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u6a21\u578b - \u4e00\u8d77AI\u6280\u672f<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/17aitech.com\/?p=35692\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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