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\n

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\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5f97\u5206\u4e0e\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4f53\u9a8c\u8131\u8282\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u597d\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61<\/strong>\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e1a\u754c\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u641e\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u5982\u4f55\u8861\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u667a\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u6a21\u578b\u5927\u591a\u5c40\u9650\u4e8e\u804a\u5929\u673a\u5668\u4eba\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5f53 AI \u5728\u7ba1\u7406\u516c\u53f8\u6216\u5236\u5b9a\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u65f6\uff0c\u53c8\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u5236\u5b9a\u8861\u91cf\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u5462\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u5c06\u516c\u5171\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u7e41\u7410\u800c\u8270\u96be\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u59d4\u6258\u7ed9\u673a\u5668\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u53e4\u5fb7\u54c8\u7279\u5b9a\u5f8b\uff08\u5f53\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u7b56\u53d8\u6210\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u597d\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff09\uff0c\u6211\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n

AI \u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u662f\u5728\u4f5c\u5f0a\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n

AI \u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u4eec\u7ecf\u5e38\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u573a\u6587\u660e\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u6574\u4e2a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5149\u9525\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6210\u529f\u4e86\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5c31\u5c06\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u6307\u8d23\u8fd9\u4e9b\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u4ece\u4e8b\u6b3a\u8bc8\u884c\u4e3a\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u76f8\u5f53\u5408\u7406\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5373\u4f7f\u4f60\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u4f6c\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5f02\u5e38\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f60\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u6307\u671b\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u7ade\u8d5b\u4e2d\u6210\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u6a21\u578b\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u8bda\u4fe1\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u80fd\u89c4\u907f\u60e9\u7f5a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5938\u5927\u80fd\u529b\u6216\u6709\u9009\u62e9\u5730\u62ab\u9732\u6709\u5229\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u6709\u975e\u5e38\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u6fc0\u52b1\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f46\u5438\u5f15\u4eba\u624d\u548c\u8d62\u5f97\uff08\u5177\u6709\u5fc3\u7406\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\uff09\u58f0\u671b\u7ade\u8d5b\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u662f\u540c\u6837\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6fc0\u52b1\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u6ca1\u6709\u6cd5\u5f8b\u8d23\u4efb\u8feb\u4f7f\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u5bf9\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\u4fdd\u6301\u900f\u660e\u6216\u771f\u5b9e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u8bad\u7ec3\u7136\u540e\u5411\u516c\u4f17\u62a5\u544a\u8be5\u8868\u73b0\u800c\u88ab\u8d77\u8bc9\u6216\u88ab\u5224\u72af\u6709\u6b3a\u8bc8\u7f6a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8fc7\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u58f0\u79f0\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u72ed\u9698\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bf4\u7684\u662f\u5b9e\u8bdd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u300c\u786e\u5b9e\u5728\u8be5\u57fa\u51c6\u4e0a\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u8be5\u6027\u80fd\u300d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5bf9\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u6807\u7684\u4e00\u9636\u8c03\u6574\u5728\u6280\u672f\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u6b3a\u8bc8\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8d1f\u8d23\u4f2a\u9020\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u767e\u4e07\u79cd\u5176\u4ed6\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u7a0d\u5fae\u95f4\u63a5\u5730\u5904\u7406\u5b83\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u672c\u6587\u7684\u521d\u7a3f\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5728\u4e0a\u9762\u4e00\u6bb5\u540e\u9762\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u53e5\u8bdd\uff1a\u300c\u8bdd\u867d\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6240\u6709\u6536\u76ca\u90fd\u6765\u81ea\u4f5c\u5f0a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e9b\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6709\u4fdd\u7559\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002\u300d\u6700\u8fd1\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u79c1\u4eba\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff0c\u5982 SEAL\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u4e86\u6539\u8fdb\u3002\u4f46 OpenAI \u548c Anthropic \u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u90fd\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u516c\u5f00\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002\u6211\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u4f8b\u5916\u662f ARC-AGI \u5956\uff0c\u5176\u300c\u534a\u79c1\u4eba\u300d\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e2d\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u5206\u7531 o3 \u83b7\u5f97\uff0c\u4f46\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u5c1a\u672a\u5bf9 Claude 3.7 Sonnet\u3001DeepSeek \u6216 o3-mini \u8fdb\u884c\u8fc7\u516c\u5f00\u8bc4\u4f30\u3002\u5173\u4e8e o3 \u672c\u8eab\uff1a<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/section>\n

\u6240\u4ee5\u4e5f\u8bb8\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u79d8\u5bc6\uff1aAI \u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u6492\u8c0e\uff0c\u5f53\u4ed6\u4eec\u6539\u8fdb\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\u65f6\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u770b\u5230\u8fc7\u7b54\u6848\u5e76\u628a\u5b83\u4eec\u5199\u4e0b\u6765\u4e86<\/strong>\u3002\u4ece\u67d0\u79cd\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6700\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8861\u91cf AGI \u6027\u80fd\u65b9\u9762\u5176\u5b9e\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u90a3\u4e48\u7cdf\u7cd5\uff1b\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u662f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u4eba\u4e3a\u7684\u6b3a\u8bc8\u3002\u6b3a\u8bc8\u662f\u4eba\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6f5c\u5728\u6280\u672f\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u731c\u8fd9\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u975e\u5168\u90e8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u662f\u5426\u6ca1\u6709\u8ddf\u8e2a\u5b9e\u7528\u6027\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u5047\u8bbe\u4f60\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u4e86\u89e3\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u745e\u6587\u6e10\u8fdb\u77e9\u9635\uff08\u667a\u5546\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff09\u4e2d\u5f97\u5206\u4e3a 160\u3002\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u505a\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u63a8\u65ad\uff1a\u4f8b\u5982\uff0cRPM \u5f97\u5206\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u53ef\u63a8\u65ad\u51fa\u751f\u6d3b\u6761\u4ef6\u8d8a\u79ef\u6781\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u804c\u4e1a\u6536\u5165\u5f88\u9ad8\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u5f88\u597d\u3001\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8fdb\u76d1\u72f1\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4eba\u7fa4\u4e2d\uff0c\u745e\u6587\u6e10\u8fdb\u77e9\u9635\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7684\u5206\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u53cd\u6620\u4eba\u7c7b\u5728\u76f8\u5173\u4efb\u52a1\u4e0a\u7684\u667a\u529b\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5b8c\u6210\u6807\u51c6\u667a\u5546\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5e76\u83b7\u5f97\u9ad8\u5206\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u4e0d\u4ec5\u80fd\u8ba9\u4f60\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u300c\u5e94\u8bd5\u300d\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u8ba9\u4f60\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u662f\u5426\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u4e0d\u5fc5\u5f88\u5f3a\uff0c\u745e\u6587\u6d4b\u8bd5\u624d\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u6709\u7528\u7684\u8bca\u65ad\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u60a3\u8005\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u667a\u5546\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8bad\u7ec3\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4eba\u7c7b\u5927\u8111\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e5f\u5e76\u975e\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5728 RPM \u7b49\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u9ad8\u5206\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u7684\u4f18\u5f02\u8868\u73b0\uff08\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u7269\u79cd\u800c\u8a00\uff09\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb 5 \u4e07\u5e74\u4e2d\u5076\u7136\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fdb\u5316\u95f4\u63a5\u5730\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u8ffd\u8e2a\u52a8\u7269\u3001\u704c\u6e89\u5e84\u7a3c\u548c\u8d62\u5f97\u6218\u4e89\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\u5728\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u660e\u663e\u7684\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u51e0\u4e4e\u6240\u6709\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u90fd\u5177\u6709\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7684\u5916\u89c2\u548c\u611f\u89c9\u3002<\/strong>\u6211\u7684\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5b66\u672f\u96be\u9898\u6216\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5de5\u7a0b\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6311\u6218\u4f60\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u5230\u51e0\u767e\u4e2a token \u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u6d88\u5316\u5e76\u89e3\u51b3\u3002\u4e5f\u8bb8\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8bc4\u4f30\u8d77\u6765\u66f4\u5feb\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u4eec\u4f3c\u4e4e\u7406\u6240\u5f53\u7136\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u83b7\u5f97 IMO \u91d1\u724c\u7684 AI \u6a21\u578b\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u4e0e\u9676\u54f2\u8f69\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u300c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u6700\u540e\u8003\u8bd5\u300d\uff08ENIGMAEVAL\uff09\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u5b8c\u6210 Upwork \u4efb\u52a1\u3001\u5b8c\u6210\u89c6\u9891\u6e38\u620f\u6216\u7ec4\u7ec7\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u81ea\u7531\u53cd\u5e94\u6d4b\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4e0d\u4f1a\u505a\u4efb\u4f55\u300c\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u6700\u540e\u8003\u8bd5\u300d\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eca\u5929\u613f\u610f\u6253\u8d4c\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u62ff\u5230\u6ee1\u5206\u7684\u5927\u6a21\u578b\u4ecd\u7136\u65e0\u6cd5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e08\u5c31\u4e1a<\/strong>\u3002 HLE \u548c\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5f88\u9177\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8bed\u8a00\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7f3a\u9677\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5b83\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u50cf\u5c0f\u5546\u8d29\u4e00\u6837\u901a\u8fc7\u590d\u8ff0\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u8bb0\u4f4f\u4e1c\u897f\u3002Claude Plays Pokemon \u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u88ab\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u89c6\u9891\u6e38\u620f\u6d89\u53ca\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u7c7b\u7279\u5b9a\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u4efb\u52a1\u9002\u5408\u4e8e\u5076\u5c14\u56de\u5fc6 30 \u5206\u949f\u524d\u5b66\u5230\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0d\u51fa\u6240\u6599\u5730\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/section>\n

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\u539f\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1a<\/sup><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.lesswrong.com\/posts\/4mvphwx5pdsZLMmpY\/recent-ai-model-progress-feels-mostly-like-bullshit<\/sup><\/p>\n

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